On Monday, Bovada released the odds of each major college football team winning this season’s national title. The gambling site released win totals for each team as well.
Michigan and Notre Dame have 50/1 odds of winning the national title, while defending Rose Bowl champion Michigan State has 25/1 odds. The site set Michigan and Notre Dame’s over/under win total at 7.5 and Michigan State’s at 9.5.
The win totals for Michigan and Notre Dame seem dead on. Michigan will probably win only seven games again this season. With Everette Golson back, Notre Dame could turn heads and make a push for the College Football Playoff, but they are in rebuilding mode after losing several key players from its offensive and defensive lines.
Michigan State’s win total is a tricky one to figure out. Regression toward the mean tells you that they’re going to lose a few more games this season but how many is the question? Connor Cook is too good of quarterback, according to recent reports, for Michigan State to fall out of national prominence. At the same time, he still doesn’t have any true playmakers at wide receiver, and it looks like the defense will need time to rebuild this year. The national media thinks they’re be a 10-win team, but they could just as easily be an eight-win team.
I guess that’s why Vegas gets paid the big bucks to set these numbers. Good luck figuring out which way to bet the Spartans.